Over 1.5 goals@1.41
Over 1.5
71%
GHAPremier League · Matchday 9Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Baba Yara Stadium
Asante Kotoko
9th · 12 pts0–0LIVE 22'
Medeama
1st · 17 pts29% Asante
27% Draw
44% Medeama
OUR PICK
Medeama to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.27
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.40
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.41X3.7522.27
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.83
Both scoreGG2.00NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.83
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@2.00
GG
50%
Double chance@1.36
12
73%
Season stats
Asante KotokoMedeama1.1Goals per game1.8
1.1Conceded per game0.9
1.50Points per game2.13
38%Win rate63%
0Goal difference7
7Form, last 5 (pts)12
Asante Kotoko form
DDWLWH Medeama0–0
A Ashanti Gold1–1
H Young Apostles2–1
A Swedru All Blacks1–0
H Karela1–0
Medeama form
WLWWWH Aduana Stars1–0
A Samartex2–1
H Heart of Lions3–1
A Debibi United0–1
H Port City1–0
Head to head
1
Asante
3
Draw
1
Medeama
Nov 2026Asante Kotoko – Medeama0–0
Apr 2026Medeama – Asante Kotoko4–0
Nov 2025Asante Kotoko – Medeama2–2
Jun 2025Asante Kotoko – Medeama3–2
Jan 2025Medeama – Asante Kotoko1–1
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Medeama8+717
2Hearts of Oak8+717
3Port City9+415
4Samartex8+415
5Swedru All Blacks8+314
6Bechem United8+213
7Aduana Stars8+213
8Basake Holy Stars8-312
9Asante Kotoko8012
10Berekum Chelsea8+111
Match preview
Our model makes Medeama slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.27 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.09 for Asante Kotoko, 1.40 for Medeama), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Asante Kotoko sit 9th on 12 points; Medeama are 1st on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.