Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
BELChallenger Pro League · Matchday 9Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Kehrweg Stadium
AS Eupen
3rd · 15 pts1–2FULL TIME
Excelsior Virton
5th · 13 pts53% AS
23% Draw
24% Excelsior
OUR PICK
AS Eupen to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.14
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.88X4.3524.21
Goals 2.5Over1.76Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.75NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.75
GG
57%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
AS EupenExcelsior Virton1.9Goals per game1.8
1.1Conceded per game1.3
1.88Points per game1.63
63%Win rate50%
6Goal difference4
9Form, last 5 (pts)7
AS Eupen form
LLLWWH Excelsior Virton1–2
H Beerschot VA1–2
A KV Mechelen5–1
A RSC Anderlecht II0–2
H Alemannia Aachen3–1
Excelsior Virton form
WLLLWA AS Eupen1–2
A Seraing United3–1
H Genk0–2
H Sporting Hasselt3–4
A Oostkamp0–3
Head to head
0
AS
0
Draw
1
Excelsior
Nov 2026AS Eupen – Excelsior Virton1–2
Challenger Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Beerschot VA9+1624
2Dender8+919
3AS Eupen8+615
4Sporting Hasselt8-115
5Excelsior Virton8+413
6Lokeren-Temse8+213
7Patro Eisden9-112
8Francs Borains7-112
9KAA Gent II8-211
10Club Brugge II8-39
Match preview
Our model makes AS Eupen slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.88 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.82 for AS Eupen, 1.14 for Excelsior Virton), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
AS Eupen sit 3rd on 15 points; Excelsior Virton are 5th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.