ENGPremier League · Matchday 10Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Emirates Stadium

Arsenal

1st · 24 pts

16:00KICK-OFF WAT

Hull City

11th · 11 pts

56% Arsenal

27% Draw

17% Hull

OUR PICK

Arsenal to win

Model probability 56% · fair odds

1.77

Expected goals

1.47 – 0.67

Confidence

Medium

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.77X3.7725.89

Goals 2.5Over2.62Under1.57

Both scoreGG2.48NG1.60

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.59

Over 1.5

63%

Over/Under 2.5@1.57

Under 2.5

64%

Both teams to score@1.60

62%

Double chance@1.20

83%

Season stats

ArsenalHull City

1.6Goals per game1.2

0.6Conceded per game1.1

2.67Points per game1.22

89%Win rate22%

9Goal difference1

12Form, last 5 (pts)3

Arsenal form

WDWDW

A Liverpool0–1

A Fleetwood Town1–1

H Everton2–0

A Bayern München2–2

A Nottingham Forest0–1

Hull City form

DDLDL

H Ipswich2–2

H Brentford1–1

A Fulham1–0

H Everton2–2

A Newcastle2–1

Head to head

Arsenal

Draw

Hull

Feb 2017Arsenal – Hull City2–0

Sept 2016Hull City – Arsenal1–4

Mar 2016Hull City – Arsenal0–4

Feb 2016Arsenal – Hull City0–0

May 2015Hull City – Arsenal1–3

Premier League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Arsenal9+924

2Manchester City9+1021

3Brighton9+1719

4Chelsea9+416

5Liverpool9+215

6Brentford9+714

7Everton9013

8Bournemouth9+112

9Tottenham9012

10Aston Villa9-312

Match preview

Our model makes Arsenal clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.77 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.47 for Arsenal, 0.67 for Hull City), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Arsenal sit 1st on 24 points; Hull City are 11th on 11.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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