Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
71%
GRESuper League 1 · Matchday 6Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium
Aris Thessalonikis
5th · 16 pts3–2FULL TIME
Volos NFC
14th · 0 pts55% Aris
25% Draw
20% Volos
OUR PICK
Aris Thessalonikis to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.82
Expected goals
1.62 – 0.88
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.82X4.0324.91
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.84
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.88
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.84
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.88
NG
53%
Double chance@1.26
1X
80%
Season stats
Aris ThessalonikisVolos NFC1.4Goals per game0.7
1.9Conceded per game1.8
1.78Points per game0.00
56%Win rate0%
-4Goal difference-10
10Form, last 5 (pts)1
Aris Thessalonikis form
LLWWWA Levadiakos3–0
A Panathinaikos2–1
H Atromitos3–1
A Kifisia1–2
H Volos NFC3–2
Volos NFC form
LLLDLA Atromitos3–0
H Atromitos1–3
H Panathinaikos0–1
A Levadiakos0–0
A Aris Thessalonikis3–2
Head to head
4
Aris
1
Draw
0
Volos
Oct 2026Aris Thessalonikis – Volos NFC3–2
May 2026Volos NFC – Aris Thessalonikis1–2
Apr 2026Aris Thessalonikis – Volos NFC3–2
Feb 2026Volos NFC – Aris Thessalonikis1–1
Aug 2025Aris Thessalonikis – Volos NFC2–0
Super League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos9+1624
2Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
3PAOK9+618
4AEK Athens FC8+1617
5Aris Thessalonikis9-416
6OFI9+216
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata9-411
9Iraklis 19089-210
10Panetolikos9-99
Match preview
Our model makes Aris Thessalonikis clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.82 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.62 for Aris Thessalonikis, 0.88 for Volos NFC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Aris Thessalonikis sit 5th on 16 points; Volos NFC are 14th on 0.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.