Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
82%
GRESuper League 1 · Matchday 10Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium
Aris Thessalonikis
5th · 16 pts18:30KICK-OFF WAT
Panetolikos
10th · 9 pts57% Aris
22% Draw
22% Panetolikos
OUR PICK
Aris Thessalonikis to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.77
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.17
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.77X4.6424.56
Goals 2.5Over1.63Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.68NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.63
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.68
GG
60%
Double chance@1.27
12
78%
Season stats
Aris ThessalonikisPanetolikos1.4Goals per game0.9
1.9Conceded per game1.9
1.78Points per game1.00
56%Win rate33%
-4Goal difference-9
10Form, last 5 (pts)0
Aris Thessalonikis form
LLWWWA Levadiakos3–0
A Panathinaikos2–1
H Atromitos3–1
A Kifisia1–2
H Volos NFC3–2
Panetolikos form
LLLLLH OFI0–1
A AEK Athens FC5–0
H Olympiakos Piraeus0–2
A Kifisia2–0
H PAOK1–3
Head to head
4
Aris
0
Draw
1
Panetolikos
Jan 2026Panetolikos – Aris Thessalonikis0–1
Jan 2026Aris Thessalonikis – Panetolikos2–0
Sept 2025Panetolikos – Aris Thessalonikis0–1
Aug 2025Aris Thessalonikis – Panetolikos0–2
Feb 2025Aris Thessalonikis – Panetolikos2–1
Super League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos9+1624
2Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
3PAOK9+618
4AEK Athens FC8+1617
5Aris Thessalonikis9-416
6OFI9+216
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata9-411
9Iraklis 19089-210
10Panetolikos9-99
Match preview
Our model makes Aris Thessalonikis clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.77 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (2.00 for Aris Thessalonikis, 1.17 for Panetolikos), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Aris Thessalonikis sit 5th on 16 points; Panetolikos are 10th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.