Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
GRESuper League 1 · Matchday 8Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium
Aris Thessalonikis
4th · 16 pts3–1FULL TIME
Atromitos
13th · 2 pts49% Aris
24% Draw
26% Atromitos
OUR PICK
Aris Thessalonikis to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.02
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.14
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.02X4.1123.82
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.01
Both scoreGG1.82NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.82
GG
55%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
Aris ThessalonikisAtromitos1.6Goals per game0.9
1.8Conceded per game1.7
2.00Points per game0.29
63%Win rate0%
-1Goal difference-6
10Form, last 5 (pts)2
Aris Thessalonikis form
LWWWDA Panathinaikos2–1
H Atromitos3–1
A Kifisia1–2
H Volos NFC3–2
H Iraklis 19080–0
Atromitos form
WLLLA Volos NFC1–3
A Aris Thessalonikis3–1
A Asteras Tripolis2–1
H Kifisia1–2
Head to head
3
Aris
2
Draw
0
Atromitos
Oct 2026Aris Thessalonikis – Atromitos3–1
Mar 2026Aris Thessalonikis – Atromitos0–0
Sept 2025Atromitos – Aris Thessalonikis1–2
Apr 2025Atromitos – Aris Thessalonikis1–1
Apr 2025Aris Thessalonikis – Atromitos1–0
Super League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
2Panathinaikos8+1421
3AEK Athens FC7+1817
4Aris Thessalonikis8-116
5PAOK8+515
6OFI8+113
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata8-410
9Iraklis 19088-29
10Panetolikos8-89
Match preview
Our model makes Aris Thessalonikis slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.02 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.66 for Aris Thessalonikis, 1.14 for Atromitos), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Aris Thessalonikis sit 4th on 16 points; Atromitos are 13th on 2.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.