Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
ITASerie B · Matchday 6Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Stadio Città di Arezzo
Arezzo
13th · 11 pts0–0FULL TIME
Cremonese
11th · 12 pts30% Arezzo
26% Draw
44% Cremonese
OUR PICK
Cremonese to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.26
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.48
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.34X3.8922.26
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.98
Both scoreGG1.88NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.88
GG
53%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
ArezzoCremonese0.9Goals per game1.0
1.9Conceded per game1.1
1.10Points per game1.20
30%Win rate30%
-10Goal difference-1
5Form, last 5 (pts)7
Arezzo form
DLLWDH Ascoli0–0
A Carrarese2–1
H Benevento0–3
A Sampdoria1–2
H Cremonese0–0
Cremonese form
WWLLDH Benevento2–0
A Mantova0–2
H Juve Stabia0–1
A Pisa3–1
A Arezzo0–0
Head to head
0
Arezzo
1
Draw
3
Cremonese
Oct 2026Arezzo – Cremonese0–0
Sept 2020Cremonese – Arezzo4–0
Feb 2017Arezzo – Cremonese0–1
Oct 2016Cremonese – Arezzo3–2
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo10+1226
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli10+1019
4Mantova10+418
5Avellino10+515
6Benevento10+415
7Hellas Verona10+615
8Pisa10+315
9Padova10-114
10Sudtirol10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Cremonese slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.26 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.17 for Arezzo, 1.48 for Cremonese), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Arezzo sit 13th on 11 points; Cremonese are 11th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.