Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
ITASerie B · Matchday 10Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Stadio Città di Arezzo
Arezzo
15th · 10 pts15:00KICK-OFF WAT
Ascoli
3rd · 18 pts14% Arezzo
20% Draw
66% Ascoli
OUR PICK
Ascoli to win
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.51
Expected goals
0.81 – 2.06
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X217.29X5.0221.51
Goals 2.5Over1.83Under2.10
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.94
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.83
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.94
NG
52%
Double chance@1.16
X2
86%
Season stats
ArezzoAscoli1.0Goals per game1.8
2.1Conceded per game0.7
1.11Points per game2.00
33%Win rate56%
-10Goal difference10
4Form, last 5 (pts)11
Arezzo form
No recent matches.
Ascoli form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Arezzo
0
Draw
0
Ascoli
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo9+1023
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli9+1018
4Mantova10+418
5Pisa9+515
6Benevento10+415
7Padova10-114
8Sudtirol10+114
9Hellas Verona9+312
10Avellino9+312
Match preview
Our model makes Ascoli clear favourites, giving them a 66% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.51 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (0.81 for Arezzo, 2.06 for Ascoli), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Arezzo sit 15th on 10 points; Ascoli are 3rd on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.