Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
NOR2. Division - Group 1 · Matchday 26Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Norac stadion
Arendal
9th · 31 pts1–2FULL TIME
Mjondalen
3rd · 53 pts31% Arendal
24% Draw
45% Mjondalen
OUR PICK
Mjondalen to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.24
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.63
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.22X4.1322.24
Goals 2.5Over1.77Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.70NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.77
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.70
GG
59%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
ArendalMjondalen1.4Goals per game1.9
1.6Conceded per game1.3
1.19Points per game2.04
31%Win rate65%
-6Goal difference16
5Form, last 5 (pts)12
Arendal form
No recent matches.
Mjondalen form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Arendal
0
Draw
0
Mjondalen
These sides haven't met recently.
2. Division - Group 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1jerv26+3059
2Bjarg26+2954
3Mjondalen26+1653
4Brattvåg26+2051
5Sotra26+3048
6Notodden26+838
7Træff26-638
8Kvik Halden26+137
9Arendal26-631
10Pors Grenland26-530
Match preview
Our model makes Mjondalen slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.24 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.32 for Arendal, 1.63 for Mjondalen), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Arendal sit 9th on 31 points; Mjondalen are 3rd on 53.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.