Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
BULFirst League · Matchday 12Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · Arena Arda
Arda Kardzhali
6th · 18 pts1–1FULL TIME
Levski Sofia
1st · 32 pts13% Arda
21% Draw
66% Levski
OUR PICK
Levski Sofia to win
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.50
Expected goals
0.71 – 1.94
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X217.80X4.8221.50
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.97
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.97
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.77
NG
56%
Double chance@1.15
X2
87%
Season stats
Arda KardzhaliLevski Sofia1.3Goals per game2.1
1.5Conceded per game0.4
1.50Points per game2.67
42%Win rate83%
-2Goal difference20
2Form, last 5 (pts)11
Arda Kardzhali form
DWLLDH Levski Sofia1–1
A Spartak Plovdiv1–2
A Ludogorets5–0
A Lokomotiv Plovdiv2–0
H Cherno More Varna1–1
Levski Sofia form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Arda
0
Draw
0
Levski
These sides haven't met recently.
First League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Levski Sofia12+2032
2CSKA Sofia13+2031
3Ludogorets12+1529
4CSKA 194813+1728
5Botev Plovdiv13+222
6Arda Kardzhali12-218
7Slavia Sofia13013
8Spartak Varna13-1113
9Dunav Ruse13-711
10Botev Vratsa12-1110
Match preview
Our model makes Levski Sofia clear favourites, giving them a 66% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.50 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (0.71 for Arda Kardzhali, 1.94 for Levski Sofia), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Arda Kardzhali sit 6th on 18 points; Levski Sofia are 1st on 32.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.