Over 1.5 goals@1.47
Over 1.5
68%
SCOChampionship · Matchday 13Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Gayfield Park
Arbroath
8th · 11 pts0–4FULL TIME
Raith Rovers
2nd · 24 pts10% Arbroath
21% Draw
68% Raith
OUR PICK
Raith Rovers to win
Model probability 68% · fair odds
1.46
Expected goals
0.54 – 1.82
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X219.71X4.7021.46
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.72
Both scoreGG2.70NG1.54
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.54
NG
65%
Double chance@1.11
X2
90%
Season stats
ArbroathRaith Rovers0.5Goals per game1.5
1.7Conceded per game0.7
0.85Points per game1.85
23%Win rate54%
-15Goal difference11
0Form, last 5 (pts)10
Arbroath form
No recent matches.
Raith Rovers form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Arbroath
0
Draw
0
Raith
These sides haven't met recently.
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Partick13+1025
2Raith Rovers13+1124
3Dunfermline13+824
4Stenhousemuir13+123
5Livingston13+720
6Inverness CT13+119
7Ayr Utd12-115
8Arbroath13-1511
9Morton12-810
10Queen's Park13-147
Match preview
Our model makes Raith Rovers clear favourites, giving them a 68% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.46 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (0.54 for Arbroath, 1.82 for Raith Rovers), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Arbroath sit 8th on 11 points; Raith Rovers are 2nd on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.