Over 1.5 goals@1.78
Over 1.5
56%
KENFKF Premier League · Matchday 4Wednesday, 28 October 2026
APS Bomet
7th · 5 pts3–0FULL TIME
3K
10th · 5 pts32% APS
32% Draw
36% 3K
OUR PICK
3K to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.77
Expected goals
0.90 – 0.98
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.14X3.1322.77
Goals 2.5Over3.25Under1.41
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.59
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.41
Under 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.59
NG
63%
Double chance@1.47
X2
68%
Season stats
APS Bomet3K1.0Goals per game1.3
0.5Conceded per game1.8
1.25Points per game1.25
25%Win rate25%
2Goal difference-2
5Form, last 5 (pts)5
APS Bomet form
DWDLDH Murang'a SEAL0–0
H 3K3–0
A Nairobi United1–1
H GOR Mahia0–1
A Mathare United0–0
3K form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
APS
0
Draw
0
3K
These sides haven't met recently.
FKF Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1GOR Mahia4+512
2KCB4+27
3Murang'a SEAL4+26
4Mara Sugar4+16
5AFC Leopards4+16
6Shabana4+16
7APS Bomet4+25
8Kenya Police405
9Mathare United405
103K4-25
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: APS Bomet 32%, the draw 32%, 3K 36%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.77 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (0.90 for APS Bomet, 0.98 for 3K), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
APS Bomet sit 7th on 5 points; 3K are 10th on 5.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.