Over 1.5 goals@1.12
Over 1.5
89%
BELJupiler Pro League · Matchday 9Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Bosuilstadion
Antwerp
11th · 10 pts3–0FULL TIME
Charleroi
4th · 24 pts17% Antwerp
17% Draw
66% Charleroi
OUR PICK
Charleroi to win
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.52
Expected goals
1.24 – 2.56
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.97X5.7221.52
Goals 2.5Over1.37Under3.49
Both scoreGG1.53NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.37
Over 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.53
GG
66%
Double chance@1.20
X2
83%
Season stats
AntwerpCharleroi1.6Goals per game2.1
2.2Conceded per game1.2
1.00Points per game2.40
30%Win rate80%
-6Goal difference9
3Form, last 5 (pts)12
Antwerp form
LWWLLA Cercle Brugge2–1
H Charleroi3–0
A Heist0–1
A KVC Westerlo5–1
H Union St. Gilloise0–2
Charleroi form
WLWWWH RAAL La Louvière5–2
A Antwerp3–0
A Albert Quévy-Mons0–1
A Standard Liege0–1
H Cercle Brugge3–2
Head to head
1
Antwerp
1
Draw
3
Charleroi
Oct 2026Antwerp – Charleroi3–0
May 2026Antwerp – Charleroi0–1
Apr 2026Charleroi – Antwerp2–1
Jan 2026Antwerp – Charleroi0–2
Aug 2025Charleroi – Antwerp1–1
Jupiler Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club Brugge KV10+1827
2Union St. Gilloise10+2226
3Gent10+1325
4Charleroi10+924
5Anderlecht10+219
6Genk10+415
7Lommel United10+215
8KVC Westerlo10014
9Standard Liege10-112
10Zulte Waregem10-411
Match preview
Our model makes Charleroi clear favourites, giving them a 66% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.52 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (1.24 for Antwerp, 2.56 for Charleroi), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Antwerp sit 11th on 10 points; Charleroi are 4th on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.