Over 1.5 goals@1.46
Over 1.5
68%
FRALigue 1 · Matchday 8Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Stade Raymond Kopa
Angers
15th · 8 pts0–0FULL TIME
Lorient
10th · 12 pts28% Angers
27% Draw
44% Lorient
OUR PICK
Lorient to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.27
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.34
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.51X3.6422.27
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.72
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.89
NG
53%
Double chance@1.38
12
73%
Season stats
AngersLorient1.0Goals per game0.9
1.9Conceded per game0.8
0.89Points per game1.50
22%Win rate38%
-8Goal difference1
4Form, last 5 (pts)8
Angers form
LDLLWA Lyon2–0
H Lorient0–0
H Marseille2–5
A Stade Brestois 295–1
H Estac Troyes2–0
Lorient form
DWWLDA Angers0–0
H Monaco1–0
H Paris FC1–0
A Le Mans2–1
H Toulouse2–2
Head to head
3
Angers
1
Draw
1
Lorient
Oct 2026Angers – Lorient0–0
Aug 2026Angers – Lorient2–1
Feb 2026Lorient – Angers2–0
Oct 2025Angers – Lorient2–0
Aug 2025Angers – Lorient1–0
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain9+1120
2Lille9+618
3Lyon9+817
4Paris FC9+617
5Rennes9+116
6Marseille9+715
7Monaco9+215
8Nice9+114
9Lens9+313
10Lorient8+112
Match preview
Our model makes Lorient slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.27 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.02 for Angers, 1.34 for Lorient), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Angers sit 15th on 8 points; Lorient are 10th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.