Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
WORUEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Lotto Park
Anderlecht
22nd · 3 pts18:45KICK-OFF WAT
Red Bull Salzburg
21st · 4 pts57% Anderlecht
23% Draw
20% Red
OUR PICK
Anderlecht to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.75
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.99
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.75X4.3924.96
Goals 2.5Over1.87Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.90NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.87
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.90
GG
53%
Double chance@1.25
1X
80%
Season stats
AnderlechtRed Bull Salzburg1.3Goals per game1.0
1.0Conceded per game2.0
1.00Points per game1.33
33%Win rate33%
1Goal difference-3
3Form, last 5 (pts)4
Anderlecht form
WLWLLH KVC Westerlo4–1
A Gent4–0
A Jagiellonia0–3
A Beerschot VA2–1
A Dinamo Zagreb1–0
Red Bull Salzburg form
WWWDWH Austria Lustenau5–1
A Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz2–3
A Lask Linz1–3
A Celje2–2
H SCR Altach3–0
Head to head
0
Anderlecht
0
Draw
0
Red
These sides haven't met recently.
UEFA Europa League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
Match preview
Our model makes Anderlecht clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.75 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.83 for Anderlecht, 0.99 for Red Bull Salzburg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Anderlecht sit 22nd on 3 points; Red Bull Salzburg are 21st on 4.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.