Over 1.5 goals@1.36
Over 1.5
74%
WALPremier League · Matchday 16Friday, 6 November 2026 · Ammanford Recreation Ground
Ammanford AFC
14th · 9 pts20:45KICK-OFF WAT
Briton Ferry
12th · 15 pts23% Ammanford
25% Draw
53% Briton
OUR PICK
Briton Ferry to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.64
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.43X4.0621.89
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.95
Both scoreGG1.99NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.95
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.99
GG
50%
Double chance@1.29
X2
77%
Season stats
Ammanford AFCBriton Ferry0.7Goals per game1.1
2.8Conceded per game1.7
0.60Points per game1.00
13%Win rate27%
-32Goal difference-9
6Form, last 5 (pts)7
Ammanford AFC form
LLWWWH Haverfordwest County AFC0–1
A The New Saints9–0
A FC Cwmaman2–4
A Cambrian & Clydach0–1
H Holywell2–1
Briton Ferry form
WLWLWH Llandudno3–0
A Caernarfon Town3–1
H Afan United5–0
H GAP Connah S Quay FC1–2
H Colwyn Bay1–0
Head to head
1
Ammanford
0
Draw
4
Briton
Jul 2026Briton Ferry – Ammanford AFC2–1
Apr 2024Briton Ferry – Ammanford AFC4–0
Feb 2024Ammanford AFC – Briton Ferry2–1
Sept 2023Ammanford AFC – Briton Ferry0–1
Feb 2023Ammanford AFC – Briton Ferry1–2
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1The New Saints15+4741
2GAP Connah S Quay FC15+2335
3Penybont14+1933
4Caernarfon Town15+2329
5Colwyn Bay15+929
6Barry Town15+628
7Airbus UK15+927
8Cardiff MET15+322
9Cambrian & Clydach15-1518
10Llandudno15-616
Match preview
Our model makes Briton Ferry slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.89 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (0.98 for Ammanford AFC, 1.64 for Briton Ferry), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ammanford AFC sit 14th on 9 points; Briton Ferry are 12th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.