Over 1.5 goals@1.52
Over 1.5
66%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 5Thursday, 29 October 2026 · Olimpico Pascual Guerrero
America de Cali
4th · 33 pts2–1FULL TIME
Fortaleza FC
15th · 22 pts57% America
26% Draw
17% Fortaleza
OUR PICK
America de Cali to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.54 – 0.72
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.76X3.9025.75
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.65
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.68
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.68
NG
60%
Double chance@1.21
1X
83%
Season stats
America de CaliFortaleza FC1.3Goals per game1.2
0.8Conceded per game1.4
1.74Points per game1.16
53%Win rate26%
10Goal difference-5
10Form, last 5 (pts)3
America de Cali form
WWWDLH Fortaleza FC2–1
H Cucuta3–1
A Barranquilla0–4
A Bucaramanga1–1
H Independiente Medellin1–2
Fortaleza FC form
LDLDDA America de Cali2–1
H Deportivo Cali1–1
A Internacional de Bogota2–1
A Santa Fe2–2
H Millonarios1–1
Head to head
3
America
1
Draw
1
Fortaleza
Oct 2026America de Cali – Fortaleza FC2–1
Apr 2026Fortaleza FC – America de Cali1–2
Sept 2025Fortaleza FC – America de Cali1–0
Mar 2025America de Cali – Fortaleza FC1–0
Sept 2024America de Cali – Fortaleza FC1–1
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes America de Cali clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.76 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.54 for America de Cali, 0.72 for Fortaleza FC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
America de Cali sit 4th on 33 points; Fortaleza FC are 15th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.