Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
72%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 16Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Olimpico Pascual Guerrero
America de Cali
4th · 33 pts3–1FULL TIME
Cucuta
19th · 16 pts64% America
22% Draw
14% Cucuta
OUR PICK
America de Cali to win
Model probability 64% · fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
1.84 – 0.72
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.56X4.5627.14
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.89
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.76
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.76
NG
57%
Double chance@1.16
1X
86%
Season stats
America de CaliCucuta1.3Goals per game1.2
0.8Conceded per game1.8
1.74Points per game0.84
53%Win rate16%
10Goal difference-13
10Form, last 5 (pts)9
America de Cali form
No recent matches.
Cucuta form
LLWWWH Águilas Doradas0–2
A America de Cali3–1
H Atletico Nacional1–0
A Chico0–1
H Deportivo Pereira4–0
Head to head
0
America
0
Draw
0
Cucuta
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes America de Cali clear favourites, giving them a 64% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.56 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.84 for America de Cali, 0.72 for Cucuta), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
America de Cali sit 4th on 33 points; Cucuta are 19th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.