Over 1.5 goals@1.47
Over 1.5
68%
PORSegunda Liga · Matchday 9Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Municipal de Amarante
Amarante
14th · 8 pts2–1FULL TIME
FC Porto B
16th · 8 pts47% Amarante
27% Draw
26% FC
OUR PICK
Amarante to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.14
Expected goals
1.39 – 0.96
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.14X3.6823.85
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.72
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.86
NG
54%
Double chance@1.35
1X
74%
Season stats
AmaranteFC Porto B0.9Goals per game0.9
1.3Conceded per game1.9
0.89Points per game0.89
22%Win rate22%
-4Goal difference-9
4Form, last 5 (pts)5
Amarante form
No recent matches.
FC Porto B form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Amarante
0
Draw
0
FC
These sides haven't met recently.
Segunda Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sporting CP B9+821
2Lusitânia Lourosa8+718
3Benfica B9+517
4Penafiel8+1016
5Academica8+415
6Farense8+414
7União de Leiria9+214
8AVS9+112
9Tondela8+112
10Portimonense9-411
Match preview
Our model makes Amarante slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.14 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.39 for Amarante, 0.96 for FC Porto B), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Amarante sit 14th on 8 points; FC Porto B are 16th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.