Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
MARBotola Pro · Matchday 3Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Stade El Bachir
Amal Tiznit
14th · 4 pts2–5FULL TIME
Difaa EL Jadida
9th · 8 pts43% Amal
24% Draw
33% Difaa
OUR PICK
Amal Tiznit to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.35
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.42
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.35X4.1822.99
Goals 2.5Over1.70Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.64NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.70
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.64
GG
61%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
Amal TiznitDifaa EL Jadida1.0Goals per game2.2
2.0Conceded per game2.2
0.67Points per game1.33
17%Win rate33%
-6Goal difference0
4Form, last 5 (pts)8
Amal Tiznit form
LLDLWH Kawkab Marrakech0–1
H CODM Meknès1–2
A Wydad AC1–1
H Difaa EL Jadida2–5
A FUS Rabat0–1
Difaa EL Jadida form
DDWWLH UTS Rabat1–1
A Kawkab Marrakech1–1
H Moghreb Tetouan4–1
A Amal Tiznit2–5
H Wydad AC0–2
Head to head
0
Amal
0
Draw
2
Difaa
Oct 2026Amal Tiznit – Difaa EL Jadida2–5
May 2026Amal Tiznit – Difaa EL Jadida0–3
Botola Pro table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Kawkab Marrakech6+313
2CODM Meknès6+511
3Wydad AC6+211
4Ittihad Tanger6+110
5Widad Témara6+39
6FAR Rabat4+38
7Hassania Agadir6+28
8UTS Rabat608
9Difaa EL Jadida608
10Maghreb Fès608
Match preview
Our model makes Amal Tiznit slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.35 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.63 for Amal Tiznit, 1.42 for Difaa EL Jadida), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Amal Tiznit sit 14th on 4 points; Difaa EL Jadida are 9th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.