Over 1.5 goals@1.45
Over 1.5
69%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 16Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Alianza Valledupar
17th · 17 pts1–0FULL TIME
Internacional de Bogota
8th · 28 pts24% Alianza
27% Draw
49% Internacional
OUR PICK
Internacional de Bogota to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.04
Expected goals
0.94 – 1.45
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.09X3.7622.04
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.75
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.87
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.75
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.87
NG
53%
Double chance@1.32
X2
76%
Season stats
Alianza ValleduparInternacional de Bogota0.7Goals per game1.4
1.4Conceded per game1.4
0.89Points per game1.47
16%Win rate37%
-14Goal difference0
7Form, last 5 (pts)8
Alianza Valledupar form
LLWWDA Independiente Medellin2–1
A Once Caldas1–0
H Internacional de Bogota1–0
A Deportivo Pasto0–1
H Águilas Doradas2–2
Internacional de Bogota form
WLWWDH Independiente Medellin3–1
A Alianza Valledupar1–0
H Fortaleza FC2–1
H Llaneros4–1
A Junior2–2
Head to head
3
Alianza
0
Draw
2
Internacional
Oct 2026Alianza Valledupar – Internacional de Bogota1–0
Apr 2026Internacional de Bogota – Alianza Valledupar2–1
Oct 2025Alianza Valledupar – Internacional de Bogota2–0
May 2025Internacional de Bogota – Alianza Valledupar0–2
Nov 2024Internacional de Bogota – Alianza Valledupar3–2
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Internacional de Bogota slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.04 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (0.94 for Alianza Valledupar, 1.45 for Internacional de Bogota), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Alianza Valledupar sit 17th on 17 points; Internacional de Bogota are 8th on 28.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.