Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
86%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 10Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Tivoli
Alemannia Aachen
5th · 20 pts2–0FULL TIME
Hansa Rostock
11th · 16 pts47% Alemannia
22% Draw
31% Hansa
OUR PICK
Alemannia Aachen to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.14
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.52
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.14X4.5123.22
Goals 2.5Over1.51Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.51NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.51
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.51
GG
66%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
Alemannia AachenHansa Rostock1.6Goals per game1.6
1.5Conceded per game1.8
1.67Points per game1.33
50%Win rate33%
1Goal difference-3
9Form, last 5 (pts)4
Alemannia Aachen form
WWWLLH Preußen Münster2–1
A Stuttgart II1–2
H Hansa Rostock2–0
A SV Wehen3–0
H FC Viktoria Köln2–5
Hansa Rostock form
LDLLWA SSV Jahn Regensburg2–1
H Fortuna Düsseldorf1–1
A Alemannia Aachen2–0
H SV Meppen0–2
A Würzburger Kickers0–2
Head to head
3
Alemannia
2
Draw
0
Hansa
Oct 2026Alemannia Aachen – Hansa Rostock2–0
May 2026Alemannia Aachen – Hansa Rostock1–1
Dec 2025Hansa Rostock – Alemannia Aachen2–2
Mar 2025Alemannia Aachen – Hansa Rostock2–1
Oct 2024Hansa Rostock – Alemannia Aachen1–2
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes Alemannia Aachen slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.14 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.90 for Alemannia Aachen, 1.52 for Hansa Rostock), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Alemannia Aachen sit 5th on 20 points; Hansa Rostock are 11th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.