Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 8Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Tivoli
Alemannia Aachen
5th · 20 pts2–5FULL TIME
FC Viktoria Köln
1st · 26 pts35% Alemannia
25% Draw
41% FC
OUR PICK
FC Viktoria Köln to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.45
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.54
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.89X4.0822.45
Goals 2.5Over1.78Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.69NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.69
GG
59%
Double chance@1.32
12
75%
Season stats
Alemannia AachenFC Viktoria Köln1.6Goals per game2.6
1.5Conceded per game1.3
1.67Points per game2.17
50%Win rate67%
1Goal difference16
9Form, last 5 (pts)11
Alemannia Aachen form
WWWLLH Preußen Münster2–1
A Stuttgart II1–2
H Hansa Rostock2–0
A SV Wehen3–0
H FC Viktoria Köln2–5
FC Viktoria Köln form
WWDDWA Hoffenheim II0–1
H Verl3–1
A MSV Duisburg1–1
H SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2–2
A Alemannia Aachen2–5
Head to head
2
Alemannia
0
Draw
3
FC
Oct 2026Alemannia Aachen – FC Viktoria Köln2–5
May 2026FC Viktoria Köln – Alemannia Aachen0–3
Dec 2025Alemannia Aachen – FC Viktoria Köln0–3
Feb 2025FC Viktoria Köln – Alemannia Aachen3–1
Sept 2024Alemannia Aachen – FC Viktoria Köln1–0
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Alemannia Aachen 35%, the draw 25%, FC Viktoria Köln 41%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.45 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.40 for Alemannia Aachen, 1.54 for FC Viktoria Köln), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Alemannia Aachen sit 5th on 20 points; FC Viktoria Köln are 1st on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.