Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
80%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Denka Big Swan Stadium
Albirex Niigata
2nd · 26 pts2–3FULL TIME
Kataller Toyama
3rd · 25 pts27% Albirex
23% Draw
50% Kataller
OUR PICK
Kataller Toyama to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.02
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.77
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.70X4.2822.02
Goals 2.5Over1.72Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.69NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.69
GG
59%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
Albirex NiigataKataller Toyama1.5Goals per game1.9
1.7Conceded per game1.0
1.86Points per game1.79
57%Win rate50%
-3Goal difference12
7Form, last 5 (pts)8
Albirex Niigata form
No recent matches.
Kataller Toyama form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Albirex
0
Draw
0
Kataller
These sides haven't met recently.
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Kataller Toyama slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.02 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.25 for Albirex Niigata, 1.77 for Kataller Toyama), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Albirex Niigata sit 2nd on 26 points; Kataller Toyama are 3rd on 25.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.