Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 16Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Denka Big Swan Stadium
Albirex Niigata
2nd · 26 pts06:00KICK-OFF WAT
Imabari
19th · 12 pts59% Albirex
20% Draw
22% Imabari
OUR PICK
Albirex Niigata to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
2.27 – 1.32
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.70X5.0624.65
Goals 2.5Over1.44Under3.04
Both scoreGG1.52NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.52
GG
66%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
Albirex NiigataImabari1.5Goals per game1.1
1.7Conceded per game1.9
1.86Points per game0.86
57%Win rate21%
-3Goal difference-11
7Form, last 5 (pts)5
Albirex Niigata form
DLWWLA Ventforet Kofu0–0
H Kataller Toyama2–3
H Vegalta Sendai2–1
H Sagan Tosu2–1
A Oita Trinita5–1
Imabari form
DLLDWH Ventforet Kofu1–1
A Blaublitz Akita1–0
A Vegalta Sendai3–1
H Vanraure Hachinohe3–3
A Tokushima Vortis1–2
Head to head
2
Albirex
0
Draw
0
Imabari
Apr 2026Albirex Niigata – Imabari1–0
Mar 2026Imabari – Albirex Niigata0–2
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Albirex Niigata clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.70 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.27 for Albirex Niigata, 1.32 for Imabari), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Albirex Niigata sit 2nd on 26 points; Imabari are 19th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.