Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
URUPrimera División · Clausura - 13Monday, 2 November 2026 · Estadio Luis Franzini
Albion FC
8th · 46 pts00:00KICK-OFF WAT
Deportivo Maldonado
2nd · 62 pts32% Albion
25% Draw
43% Deportivo
OUR PICK
Deportivo Maldonado to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.33
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.49
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.17X3.9322.33
Goals 2.5Over1.95Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.82NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.95
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.82
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Albion FCDeportivo Maldonado1.4Goals per game1.6
1.3Conceded per game0.9
1.35Points per game1.82
38%Win rate53%
3Goal difference22
12Form, last 5 (pts)10
Albion FC form
No recent matches.
Deportivo Maldonado form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Albion
0
Draw
0
Deportivo
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Penarol35+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado34+2262
3Atletico Torque34+1760
4Racing Montevideo35+1460
5Club Nacional34+1058
6Liverpool Montevideo34+1456
7Wanderers35-251
8Albion FC34+346
9Juventud34-441
10Central Espanol35-1341
Match preview
Our model makes Deportivo Maldonado slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.33 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.24 for Albion FC, 1.49 for Deportivo Maldonado), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Albion FC sit 8th on 46 points; Deportivo Maldonado are 2nd on 62.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.