Over 1.5 goals@1.61
Over 1.5
62%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 12Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Carlos Belmonte
Albacete
21st · 7 pts2–1FULL TIME
Sabadell
10th · 17 pts24% Albacete
29% Draw
47% Sabadell
OUR PICK
Sabadell to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.12
Expected goals
0.82 – 1.28
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.19X3.4622.12
Goals 2.5Over2.70Under1.54
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.68
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.54
Under 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.68
NG
60%
Double chance@1.31
X2
76%
Season stats
AlbaceteSabadell0.8Goals per game1.0
1.9Conceded per game0.9
0.58Points per game1.42
17%Win rate33%
-13Goal difference1
6Form, last 5 (pts)5
Albacete form
WWLLLH Sabadell2–1
H Eldense2–0
A Sporting Gijon2–1
A Valladolid5–0
H Eibar1–3
Sabadell form
LDLWDA Albacete2–1
H Tenerife1–1
A Burgos1–0
A AD Ceuta FC1–2
H FC Andorra0–0
Head to head
2
Albacete
2
Draw
1
Sabadell
Oct 2026Albacete – Sabadell2–1
Apr 2022Sabadell – Albacete1–0
Feb 2022Albacete – Sabadell1–1
Feb 2021Sabadell – Albacete0–0
Oct 2020Albacete – Sabadell3–0
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón11+1826
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Girona12+1121
5Granada CF11+420
6Burgos11+420
7Mallorca11+719
8Sporting Gijon11-219
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model makes Sabadell slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.12 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (0.82 for Albacete, 1.28 for Sabadell), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Albacete sit 21st on 7 points; Sabadell are 10th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.