Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
72%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 11Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Carlos Belmonte
Albacete
21st · 7 pts2–0FULL TIME
Eldense
13th · 14 pts25% Albacete
26% Draw
50% Eldense
OUR PICK
Eldense to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.02
Expected goals
1.01 – 1.54
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.03X3.9122.02
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.88
Both scoreGG1.89NG2.00
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.88
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@2.00
NG
50%
Double chance@1.33
X2
75%
Season stats
AlbaceteEldense0.8Goals per game1.1
1.9Conceded per game1.4
0.58Points per game1.17
17%Win rate33%
-13Goal difference-4
6Form, last 5 (pts)9
Albacete form
WWLLLH Sabadell2–1
H Eldense2–0
A Sporting Gijon2–1
A Valladolid5–0
H Eibar1–3
Eldense form
LWLWWH Granada CF0–2
A Atlético Baleares0–1
A Albacete2–0
A Valladolid2–3
H Cordoba2–1
Head to head
3
Albacete
0
Draw
2
Eldense
Oct 2026Albacete – Eldense2–0
Aug 2026Albacete – Eldense1–0
Feb 2025Albacete – Eldense0–1
Nov 2024Eldense – Albacete2–0
Apr 2024Eldense – Albacete0–1
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Sporting Gijon12022
6Girona12+1121
7Burgos12+421
8Mallorca11+719
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model makes Eldense slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.02 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.01 for Albacete, 1.54 for Eldense), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Albacete sit 21st on 7 points; Eldense are 13th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.