Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 11Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Alanya Oba Stadium
Alanyaspor
12th · 12 pts16:30KICK-OFF WAT
Trabzonspor
3rd · 22 pts14% Alanyaspor
20% Draw
65% Trabzonspor
OUR PICK
Trabzonspor to win
Model probability 65% · fair odds
1.53
Expected goals
0.80 – 2.00
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X217.09X4.8821.53
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.01
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.91
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.91
NG
52%
Double chance@1.16
X2
86%
Season stats
AlanyasporTrabzonspor0.9Goals per game2.4
1.6Conceded per game0.8
1.20Points per game2.20
30%Win rate70%
-7Goal difference16
4Form, last 5 (pts)15
Alanyaspor form
WLLDWH 12 Bingölspor4–1
H Kocaelispor1–2
A Fenerbahçe3–0
H Erzurumspor FK0–0
A Çorum FK1–2
Trabzonspor form
WWWWWH Gaziantep FK2–0
A Rizespor3–4
H Heart Of Midlothian2–0
H Beşiktaş2–0
A KuPS2–4
Head to head
1
Alanyaspor
2
Draw
2
Trabzonspor
Apr 2026Alanyaspor – Trabzonspor1–1
Dec 2025Trabzonspor – Alanyaspor0–1
Nov 2025Trabzonspor – Alanyaspor1–1
Apr 2025Trabzonspor – Alanyaspor4–3
Jan 2025Trabzonspor – Alanyaspor3–0
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Trabzonspor clear favourites, giving them a 65% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.53 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (0.80 for Alanyaspor, 2.00 for Trabzonspor), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Alanyaspor sit 12th on 12 points; Trabzonspor are 3rd on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.