Over 1.5 goals@1.86
Over 1.5
54%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 9Friday, 23 October 2026 · Bahcesehir Okullari Stadium
Alanyaspor
12th · 12 pts1–2FULL TIME
Kocaelispor
8th · 16 pts36% Alanyaspor
33% Draw
31% Kocaelispor
OUR PICK
Alanyaspor to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.80
Expected goals
0.94 – 0.86
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.80X3.0423.19
Goals 2.5Over3.49Under1.37
Both scoreGG2.70NG1.54
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.37
Under 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.54
NG
65%
Double chance@1.46
1X
69%
Season stats
AlanyasporKocaelispor1.0Goals per game1.1
1.2Conceded per game0.9
1.33Points per game1.60
33%Win rate50%
-2Goal difference2
5Form, last 5 (pts)7
Alanyaspor form
WLLDWH 12 Bingölspor4–1
H Kocaelispor1–2
A Fenerbahçe3–0
H Erzurumspor FK0–0
A Çorum FK1–2
Kocaelispor form
DWWLLH Rizespor0–0
H Mazıdağı Fosfatspor3–0
A Alanyaspor1–2
H Göztepe1–2
A Beşiktaş2–1
Head to head
2
Alanyaspor
0
Draw
2
Kocaelispor
Oct 2026Alanyaspor – Kocaelispor1–2
Mar 2026Alanyaspor – Kocaelispor5–0
Oct 2025Kocaelispor – Alanyaspor2–0
Dec 2023Alanyaspor – Kocaelispor1–0
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Alanyaspor 36%, the draw 33%, Kocaelispor 31%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.80 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (0.94 for Alanyaspor, 0.86 for Kocaelispor), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Alanyaspor sit 12th on 12 points; Kocaelispor are 8th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.