Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
SAUPro League · Matchday 10Tuesday, 20 October 2026 · Al Taawon Arena
Al Taawon
17th · 5 pts0–1FULL TIME
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2nd · 28 pts9% Al
16% Draw
75% Al-Qadisiyah
OUR PICK
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win
Model probability 75% · fair odds
1.33
Expected goals
0.72 – 2.43
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X2110.95X6.3221.33
Goals 2.5Over1.64Under2.42
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.88
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.64
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.88
NG
53%
Double chance@1.10
X2
91%
Season stats
Al TaawonAl-Qadisiyah FC0.5Goals per game2.7
1.7Conceded per game1.0
0.42Points per game2.33
0%Win rate75%
-14Goal difference20
2Form, last 5 (pts)12
Al Taawon form
DWLLDH Al-Ettifaq1–1
A Al Faisaly0–2
A Al Riyadh2–1
H Al-Qadisiyah FC0–1
A Al Diriyah1–1
Al-Qadisiyah FC form
WDLWWA Al Riyadh0–6
H Al Sadd1–1
H Al-Hilal Saudi FC2–3
A Al Taawon0–1
H Abha2–1
Head to head
2
Al
1
Draw
2
Al-Qadisiyah
Oct 2026Al Taawon – Al-Qadisiyah FC0–1
Feb 2026Al-Qadisiyah FC – Al Taawon1–1
Nov 2025Al Taawon – Al-Qadisiyah FC2–0
May 2025Al Taawon – Al-Qadisiyah FC0–1
Jan 2025Al-Qadisiyah FC – Al Taawon0–3
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC clear favourites, giving them a 75% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.33 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (0.72 for Al Taawon, 2.43 for Al-Qadisiyah FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al Taawon sit 17th on 5 points; Al-Qadisiyah FC are 2nd on 28.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.