Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
SAUPro League · Matchday 10Monday, 19 October 2026 · Al-Shabab Club Stadium
Al Shabab
10th · 14 pts2–2FULL TIME
Al-Faisaly FC
15th · 10 pts70% Al
17% Draw
13% Al-Faisaly
OUR PICK
Al Shabab to win
Model probability 70% · fair odds
1.43
Expected goals
2.38 – 0.91
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.43X5.7427.89
Goals 2.5Over1.57Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.84NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.57
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.84
GG
54%
Double chance@1.15
1X
87%
Season stats
Al ShababAl-Faisaly FC1.8Goals per game1.1
1.4Conceded per game2.0
1.27Points per game0.83
27%Win rate17%
5Goal difference-11
11Form, last 5 (pts)7
Al Shabab form
WWDWDH Al-Ahli Jeddah6–1
A Al-Fateh1–3
H Al-Faisaly FC2–2
H Al Taawon3–0
H Al-Fayha0–0
Al-Faisaly FC form
LWLDWA Al-Fayha4–1
A Abha0–1
H Al-Nassr1–3
A Al Shabab2–2
H Al Kholood3–2
Head to head
2
Al
3
Draw
0
Al-Faisaly
Oct 2026Al Shabab – Al-Faisaly FC2–2
May 2022Al Shabab – Al-Faisaly FC1–0
Nov 2021Al-Faisaly FC – Al Shabab0–0
May 2021Al-Faisaly FC – Al Shabab1–5
Jan 2021Al Shabab – Al-Faisaly FC1–1
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model makes Al Shabab clear favourites, giving them a 70% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (2.38 for Al Shabab, 0.91 for Al-Faisaly FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al Shabab sit 10th on 14 points; Al-Faisaly FC are 15th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.