Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
86%
SAUPro League · Matchday 12Friday, 30 October 2026 · King Fahd Stadium
Al Shabab
10th · 14 pts6–1FULL TIME
Al-Ahli Jeddah
6th · 21 pts28% Al
22% Draw
50% Al-Ahli
OUR PICK
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
1.99
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.99
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.58X4.6021.99
Goals 2.5Over1.50Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.52NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.50
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.52
GG
66%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Al ShababAl-Ahli Jeddah1.8Goals per game2.5
1.4Conceded per game1.7
1.27Points per game1.91
27%Win rate64%
5Goal difference9
11Form, last 5 (pts)12
Al Shabab form
WWDWDH Al-Ahli Jeddah6–1
A Al-Fateh1–3
H Al-Faisaly FC2–2
H Al Taawon3–0
H Al-Fayha0–0
Al-Ahli Jeddah form
DLWWWA Al Sadd0–0
A Al Shabab6–1
H Al-Gharafa2–1
H Al Khaleej Saihat4–1
A Al-Fayha2–3
Head to head
2
Al
1
Draw
2
Al-Ahli
Oct 2026Al Shabab – Al-Ahli Jeddah6–1
Feb 2026Al Shabab – Al-Ahli Jeddah2–5
Oct 2025Al-Ahli Jeddah – Al Shabab1–1
May 2025Al Shabab – Al-Ahli Jeddah3–1
Jan 2025Al-Ahli Jeddah – Al Shabab3–2
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.99 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.44 for Al Shabab, 1.99 for Al-Ahli Jeddah), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al Shabab sit 10th on 14 points; Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.