Over 1.5 goals@1.54
Over 1.5
65%
SAUPro League · Matchday 11Saturday, 24 October 2026 · SHG Arena
Al Riyadh
12th · 12 pts2–1FULL TIME
Al Taawon
17th · 5 pts45% Al
28% Draw
27% Al
OUR PICK
Al Riyadh to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.25
Expected goals
1.28 – 0.93
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.25X3.5123.70
Goals 2.5Over2.48Under1.61
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.78
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Under 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.78
NG
56%
Double chance@1.37
1X
73%
Season stats
Al RiyadhAl Taawon1.0Goals per game0.5
2.3Conceded per game1.7
1.09Points per game0.42
27%Win rate0%
-14Goal difference-14
7Form, last 5 (pts)2
Al Riyadh form
LWLDWH Al-Qadisiyah FC0–6
H Al Taawon2–1
A Al Diriyah1–0
A Al-Fayha1–1
H Al Kholood2–0
Al Taawon form
DWLLDH Al-Ettifaq1–1
A Al Faisaly0–2
A Al Riyadh2–1
H Al-Qadisiyah FC0–1
A Al Diriyah1–1
Head to head
0
Al
0
Draw
0
Al
These sides haven't met recently.
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model makes Al Riyadh slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.25 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.28 for Al Riyadh, 0.93 for Al Taawon), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al Riyadh sit 12th on 12 points; Al Taawon are 17th on 5.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.