Over 1.5 goals@1.18
Over 1.5
85%
SAUPro League · Matchday 12Thursday, 29 October 2026 · Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
Al Riyadh
12th · 12 pts0–6FULL TIME
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2nd · 28 pts17% Al
19% Draw
64% Al-Qadisiyah
OUR PICK
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win
Model probability 64% · fair odds
1.57
Expected goals
1.08 – 2.26
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.90X5.2121.57
Goals 2.5Over1.54Under2.70
Both scoreGG1.69NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.54
Over 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.69
GG
59%
Double chance@1.20
X2
83%
Season stats
Al RiyadhAl-Qadisiyah FC1.0Goals per game2.7
2.3Conceded per game1.0
1.09Points per game2.33
27%Win rate75%
-14Goal difference20
7Form, last 5 (pts)12
Al Riyadh form
LWLDWH Al-Qadisiyah FC0–6
H Al Taawon2–1
A Al Diriyah1–0
A Al-Fayha1–1
H Al Kholood2–0
Al-Qadisiyah FC form
WDLWWA Al Riyadh0–6
H Al Sadd1–1
H Al-Hilal Saudi FC2–3
A Al Taawon0–1
H Abha2–1
Head to head
1
Al
0
Draw
4
Al-Qadisiyah
Oct 2026Al Riyadh – Al-Qadisiyah FC0–6
Apr 2026Al Riyadh – Al-Qadisiyah FC0–4
Jan 2026Al-Qadisiyah FC – Al Riyadh4–0
Mar 2025Al-Qadisiyah FC – Al Riyadh1–0
Oct 2024Al Riyadh – Al-Qadisiyah FC2–1
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC clear favourites, giving them a 64% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.57 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.08 for Al Riyadh, 2.26 for Al-Qadisiyah FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al Riyadh sit 12th on 12 points; Al-Qadisiyah FC are 2nd on 28.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.