Over 1.5 goals@1.39
Over 1.5
72%
BHRPremier League · Matchday 5Saturday, 17 October 2026
Al Riffa
1st · 15 pts4–0FULL TIME
East Riffa
6th · 8 pts60% Al
23% Draw
16% East
OUR PICK
Al Riffa to win
Model probability 60% · fair odds
1.65
Expected goals
1.75 – 0.78
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.65X4.3226.12
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.86
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.81
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.81
NG
55%
Double chance@1.20
1X
84%
Season stats
Al RiffaEast Riffa2.4Goals per game0.7
0.9Conceded per game1.4
2.14Points per game1.14
57%Win rate29%
11Goal difference-5
9Form, last 5 (pts)7
Al Riffa form
DWWWLH Al Najma2–2
H Qatar SC4–1
A Sitra2–3
H East Riffa4–0
A Al Nasr3–0
East Riffa form
DLLWWA Al Ahli0–0
H Muharraq0–1
A Al Riffa4–0
H A'Ali2–1
A Al Najma2–3
Head to head
1
Al
3
Draw
1
East
Oct 2026Al Riffa – East Riffa4–0
May 2025Al Riffa – East Riffa0–1
Feb 2025Al Riffa – East Riffa2–2
Dec 2024East Riffa – Al Riffa0–0
Apr 2024East Riffa – Al Riffa1–1
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al Riffa7+1115
2Khalidiya7+1015
3Al Ittifaq Maqaba7+514
4Muharraq7+411
5Al Ahli709
6East Riffa7-58
7Sitra7-28
8Al Najma7-48
9A'Ali7-38
10Al-Hidd707
Match preview
Our model makes Al Riffa clear favourites, giving them a 60% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.65 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.75 for Al Riffa, 0.78 for East Riffa), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al Riffa sit 1st on 15 points; East Riffa are 6th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.