Over 1.5 goals@1.08
Over 1.5
93%
BHRPremier League · Matchday 7Friday, 30 October 2026
Al Riffa
1st · 15 pts2–2FULL TIME
Al Najma
8th · 8 pts82% Al
11% Draw
7% Al
OUR PICK
Al Riffa to win
Model probability 82% · fair odds
1.22
Expected goals
3.33 – 0.96
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.22X9.08213.87
Goals 2.5Over1.25Under4.72
Both scoreGG1.68NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.25
Over 2.5
80%
Both teams to score@1.68
GG
60%
Double chance@1.08
1X
93%
Season stats
Al RiffaAl Najma2.4Goals per game1.7
0.9Conceded per game2.3
2.14Points per game1.14
57%Win rate29%
11Goal difference-4
9Form, last 5 (pts)5
Al Riffa form
DWWWLH Al Najma2–2
H Qatar SC4–1
A Sitra2–3
H East Riffa4–0
A Al Nasr3–0
Al Najma form
DLDWLA Al Riffa2–2
H A'Ali1–2
H Al-Hidd2–2
A Sitra0–2
H East Riffa2–3
Head to head
3
Al
2
Draw
0
Al
Oct 2026Al Riffa – Al Najma2–2
Jan 2026Al Najma – Al Riffa1–2
Sept 2025Al Riffa – Al Najma1–1
Mar 2025Al Najma – Al Riffa1–3
Sept 2024Al Riffa – Al Najma3–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al Riffa7+1115
2Khalidiya7+1015
3Al Ittifaq Maqaba7+514
4Muharraq7+411
5Al Ahli709
6East Riffa7-58
7Sitra7-28
8Al Najma7-48
9A'Ali7-38
10Al-Hidd707
Match preview
Our model makes Al Riffa clear favourites, giving them a 82% chance of winning against 11% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.22 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.3 goals in total (3.33 for Al Riffa, 0.96 for Al Najma), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al Riffa sit 1st on 15 points; Al Najma are 8th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.