Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
SAUPro League · Matchday 11Friday, 23 October 2026 · Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2nd · 28 pts2–3FULL TIME
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1st · 30 pts42% Al-Qadisiyah
24% Draw
34% Al-Hilal
OUR PICK
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.38
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.48
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.38X4.2422.91
Goals 2.5Over1.65Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.60NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.60
GG
63%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC2.7Goals per game2.9
1.0Conceded per game0.8
2.33Points per game2.73
75%Win rate91%
20Goal difference23
12Form, last 5 (pts)15
Al-Qadisiyah FC form
WDLWWA Al Riyadh0–6
H Al Sadd1–1
H Al-Hilal Saudi FC2–3
A Al Taawon0–1
H Abha2–1
Al-Hilal Saudi FC form
WLWWWH Al-Fateh2–0
A Al Shamal3–1
A Al-Qadisiyah FC2–3
H Al-Hazm1–0
A Al Sadd0–2
Head to head
1
Al-Qadisiyah
2
Draw
2
Al-Hilal
Oct 2026Al-Qadisiyah FC – Al-Hilal Saudi FC2–3
Jan 2026Al-Qadisiyah FC – Al-Hilal Saudi FC2–2
Sept 2025Al-Hilal Saudi FC – Al-Qadisiyah FC2–2
May 2025Al-Hilal Saudi FC – Al-Qadisiyah FC2–0
Jan 2025Al-Qadisiyah FC – Al-Hilal Saudi FC2–1
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Al-Qadisiyah FC 42%, the draw 24%, Al-Hilal Saudi FC 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.66 for Al-Qadisiyah FC, 1.48 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al-Qadisiyah FC sit 2nd on 28 points; Al-Hilal Saudi FC are 1st on 30.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.