Over 1.5 goals@1.12
Over 1.5
89%
SAUPro League · Matchday 13Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2nd · 28 pts18:00KICK-OFF WAT
Al-Fayha
13th · 11 pts77% Al-Qadisiyah
14% Draw
9% Al-Fayha
OUR PICK
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win
Model probability 77% · fair odds
1.30
Expected goals
2.86 – 0.92
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.30X7.28210.76
Goals 2.5Over1.38Under3.49
Both scoreGG1.76NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.38
Over 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.76
GG
57%
Double chance@1.10
1X
91%
Season stats
Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Fayha2.7Goals per game1.3
1.0Conceded per game1.7
2.33Points per game0.92
75%Win rate17%
20Goal difference-4
12Form, last 5 (pts)5
Al-Qadisiyah FC form
WDLWWA Al Riyadh0–6
H Al Sadd1–1
H Al-Hilal Saudi FC2–3
A Al Taawon0–1
H Abha2–1
Al-Fayha form
WDLLDH Al-Faisaly FC4–1
A Al-Hazm2–2
H Al-Ahli Jeddah2–3
A Al Khaleej Saihat2–0
H Al Riyadh1–1
Head to head
4
Al-Qadisiyah
0
Draw
1
Al-Fayha
May 2026Al-Fayha – Al-Qadisiyah FC1–2
Jan 2026Al-Qadisiyah FC – Al-Fayha5–0
Apr 2025Al-Fayha – Al-Qadisiyah FC2–1
Nov 2024Al-Qadisiyah FC – Al-Fayha2–0
Feb 2019Al-Qadisiyah FC – Al-Fayha2–0
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC clear favourites, giving them a 77% chance of winning against 14% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.30 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (2.86 for Al-Qadisiyah FC, 0.92 for Al-Fayha), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al-Qadisiyah FC sit 2nd on 28 points; Al-Fayha are 13th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.