Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
SAUPro League · Matchday 9Friday, 16 October 2026 · Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2nd · 28 pts2–1FULL TIME
Abha
18th · 3 pts84% Al-Qadisiyah
11% Draw
5% Abha
OUR PICK
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win
Model probability 84% · fair odds
1.18
Expected goals
2.93 – 0.58
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.18X9.26221.00
Goals 2.5Over1.48Under2.95
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.71
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.48
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.71
NG
58%
Double chance@1.05
1X
95%
Season stats
Al-Qadisiyah FCAbha2.7Goals per game0.6
1.0Conceded per game1.7
2.33Points per game0.27
75%Win rate0%
20Goal difference-12
12Form, last 5 (pts)2
Al-Qadisiyah FC form
WWDLWA Al-Gharafa0–5
A Al Riyadh0–6
H Al Sadd1–1
H Al-Hilal Saudi FC2–3
A Al Taawon0–1
Abha form
DLLLDH Al-Ittihad FC1–1
H Al-Faisaly FC0–1
A NEOM2–0
A Al-Qadisiyah FC2–1
A Al Diriyah0–0
Head to head
1
Al-Qadisiyah
2
Draw
0
Abha
Oct 2026Al-Qadisiyah FC – Abha2–1
May 2021Al-Qadisiyah FC – Abha1–1
Jan 2021Abha – Al-Qadisiyah FC2–2
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC clear favourites, giving them a 84% chance of winning against 11% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.18 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (2.93 for Al-Qadisiyah FC, 0.58 for Abha), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al-Qadisiyah FC sit 2nd on 28 points; Abha are 18th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.