Over 1.5 goals@1.58
Over 1.5
63%
BHRPremier League · Matchday 5Saturday, 17 October 2026
Al Najma
8th · 8 pts2–2FULL TIME
Al-Hidd
10th · 7 pts35% Al
30% Draw
35% Al-Hidd
OUR PICK
Al-Hidd to win
Model probability 35% · fair odds
2.82
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.08
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.86X3.3922.82
Goals 2.5Over2.62Under1.57
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.57
Under 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.77
NG
57%
Double chance@1.42
12
70%
Season stats
Al NajmaAl-Hidd1.7Goals per game0.7
2.3Conceded per game0.7
1.14Points per game1.00
29%Win rate14%
-4Goal difference0
5Form, last 5 (pts)4
Al Najma form
DLDWLA Al Riffa2–2
H A'Ali1–2
H Al-Hidd2–2
A Sitra0–2
H East Riffa2–3
Al-Hidd form
DDDLDA A'Ali0–0
H Manama1–1
A Al Najma2–2
H Al Ittifaq Maqaba0–1
A Sitra0–0
Head to head
2
Al
1
Draw
2
Al-Hidd
Oct 2026Al Najma – Al-Hidd2–2
Mar 2026Al Najma – Al-Hidd1–0
Oct 2025Al-Hidd – Al Najma3–1
May 2024Al-Hidd – Al Najma2–1
Feb 2024Al Najma – Al-Hidd4–2
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al Riffa7+1115
2Khalidiya7+1015
3Al Ittifaq Maqaba7+514
4Muharraq7+411
5Al Ahli709
6East Riffa7-58
7Sitra7-28
8Al Najma7-48
9A'Ali7-38
10Al-Hidd707
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Al Najma 35%, the draw 30%, Al-Hidd 35%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.82 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.07 for Al Najma, 1.08 for Al-Hidd), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al Najma sit 8th on 8 points; Al-Hidd are 10th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.