Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
SAUPro League · Matchday 11Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Al Hazm Club Stadium
Al Kholood
11th · 12 pts0–3FULL TIME
Al-Ettifaq
7th · 19 pts42% Al
22% Draw
36% Al-Ettifaq
OUR PICK
Al Kholood to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.38
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.72
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.38X4.5622.78
Goals 2.5Over1.44Under3.14
Both scoreGG1.44NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Over 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.44
GG
69%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Al KholoodAl-Ettifaq1.5Goals per game1.5
2.4Conceded per game1.4
1.09Points per game1.58
27%Win rate42%
-9Goal difference1
0Form, last 5 (pts)8
Al Kholood form
LLLLLA Al-Nassr5–3
H Al-Ettifaq0–3
A Al-Faisaly FC3–2
H Al-Qadisiyah FC0–5
A Al Riyadh2–0
Al-Ettifaq form
DLWLWA Al Taawon1–1
A Erbil3–0
A Al Kholood0–3
H Al-Ittihad FC1–4
A NEOM0–1
Head to head
2
Al
0
Draw
3
Al-Ettifaq
Oct 2026Al Kholood – Al-Ettifaq0–3
Jan 2026Al Kholood – Al-Ettifaq1–2
Aug 2025Al-Ettifaq – Al Kholood2–1
May 2025Al Kholood – Al-Ettifaq1–0
Jan 2025Al-Ettifaq – Al Kholood2–3
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Al Kholood 42%, the draw 22%, Al-Ettifaq 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (1.87 for Al Kholood, 1.72 for Al-Ettifaq), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al Kholood sit 11th on 12 points; Al-Ettifaq are 7th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.