Over 1.5 goals@1.52
Over 1.5
66%
SAUPro League · Matchday 12Thursday, 29 October 2026 · Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium
Al Khaleej Saihat
9th · 15 pts4–2FULL TIME
Al-Hazm
14th · 10 pts37% Al
29% Draw
34% Al-Hazm
OUR PICK
Al Khaleej Saihat to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.67
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.09
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.67X3.4822.95
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.64
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.84
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.64
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.84
NG
54%
Double chance@1.40
12
71%
Season stats
Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Hazm1.2Goals per game1.2
1.6Conceded per game1.7
1.25Points per game0.83
25%Win rate17%
-5Goal difference-6
10Form, last 5 (pts)2
Al Khaleej Saihat form
WLWWDH Al-Hazm4–2
A Al-Ahli Jeddah4–1
A Al-Fateh2–3
H Al-Fayha2–0
A Al-Ettifaq1–1
Al-Hazm form
LDLLDA Al Khaleej Saihat4–2
H Al-Fayha2–2
A Al-Hilal Saudi FC1–0
H Al-Fateh2–3
H NEOM1–1
Head to head
3
Al
2
Draw
0
Al-Hazm
Oct 2026Al Khaleej Saihat – Al-Hazm4–2
Mar 2026Al Khaleej Saihat – Al-Hazm2–1
Nov 2025Al-Hazm – Al Khaleej Saihat1–4
Feb 2024Al-Hazm – Al Khaleej Saihat1–1
Aug 2023Al Khaleej Saihat – Al-Hazm1–1
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Al Khaleej Saihat 37%, the draw 29%, Al-Hazm 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.67 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.16 for Al Khaleej Saihat, 1.09 for Al-Hazm), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al Khaleej Saihat sit 9th on 15 points; Al-Hazm are 14th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.