Over 1.5 goals@1.47
Over 1.5
68%
SAUPro League · Matchday 13Thursday, 5 November 2026 · King Abdullah Sports City
Al-Ittihad FC
4th · 24 pts18:00KICK-OFF WAT
NEOM
5th · 22 pts44% Al-Ittihad
28% Draw
28% NEOM
OUR PICK
Al-Ittihad FC to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.26
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.01
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.26X3.6323.55
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.72
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.88
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.88
NG
53%
Double chance@1.38
12
72%
Season stats
Al-Ittihad FCNEOM1.9Goals per game1.5
1.0Conceded per game0.8
2.18Points per game1.83
64%Win rate58%
10Goal difference8
10Form, last 5 (pts)7
Al-Ittihad FC form
DWWWLA Abha1–1
A Neftchi1–2
H Al Diriyah2–0
A Al-Ettifaq1–4
H Shabab Al Ahli Dubai1–2
NEOM form
WLWLLA Al Diriyah1–2
A Al-Shabab3–1
H Abha2–0
A Al-Nassr1–0
H Al-Ettifaq0–1
Head to head
1
Al-Ittihad
0
Draw
1
NEOM
Apr 2026Al-Ittihad FC – NEOM3–4
Dec 2025NEOM – Al-Ittihad FC1–3
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model makes Al-Ittihad FC slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.26 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.34 for Al-Ittihad FC, 1.01 for NEOM), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al-Ittihad FC sit 4th on 24 points; NEOM are 5th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.