Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
78%
SAUPro League · Matchday 8Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Kingdom Arena
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1st · 30 pts3–2FULL TIME
Al-Ittihad FC
4th · 24 pts58% Al-Hilal
22% Draw
20% Al-Ittihad
OUR PICK
Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
1.86 – 0.98
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.73X4.4525.11
Goals 2.5Over1.85Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.90NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.85
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.90
GG
53%
Double chance@1.24
1X
80%
Season stats
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ittihad FC2.9Goals per game1.9
0.8Conceded per game1.0
2.73Points per game2.18
91%Win rate64%
23Goal difference10
15Form, last 5 (pts)10
Al-Hilal Saudi FC form
WLWWWH Al-Fateh2–0
A Al Shamal3–1
A Al-Qadisiyah FC2–3
H Al-Hazm1–0
A Al Sadd0–2
Al-Ittihad FC form
DWWWLA Abha1–1
A Neftchi1–2
H Al Diriyah2–0
A Al-Ettifaq1–4
H Shabab Al Ahli Dubai1–2
Head to head
2
Al-Hilal
2
Draw
1
Al-Ittihad
Oct 2026Al-Hilal Saudi FC – Al-Ittihad FC3–2
Feb 2026Al-Hilal Saudi FC – Al-Ittihad FC1–1
Oct 2025Al-Ittihad FC – Al-Hilal Saudi FC0–2
Feb 2025Al-Ittihad FC – Al-Hilal Saudi FC4–1
Jan 2025Al-Hilal Saudi FC – Al-Ittihad FC2–2
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.73 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.86 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC, 0.98 for Al-Ittihad FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC sit 1st on 30 points; Al-Ittihad FC are 4th on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.