Over 1.5 goals@1.09
Over 1.5
92%
SAUPro League · Matchday 10Monday, 19 October 2026 · Kingdom Arena
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1st · 30 pts1–0FULL TIME
Al-Hazm
14th · 10 pts83% Al-Hilal
11% Draw
6% Al-Hazm
OUR PICK
Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win
Model probability 83% · fair odds
1.20
Expected goals
3.27 – 0.85
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.20X9.40215.89
Goals 2.5Over1.29Under4.10
Both scoreGG1.82NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.29
Over 2.5
77%
Both teams to score@1.82
GG
55%
Double chance@1.07
1X
94%
Season stats
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hazm2.9Goals per game1.2
0.8Conceded per game1.7
2.73Points per game0.83
91%Win rate17%
23Goal difference-6
15Form, last 5 (pts)2
Al-Hilal Saudi FC form
WLWWWH Al-Fateh2–0
A Al Shamal3–1
A Al-Qadisiyah FC2–3
H Al-Hazm1–0
A Al Sadd0–2
Al-Hazm form
LDLLDA Al Khaleej Saihat4–2
H Al-Fayha2–2
A Al-Hilal Saudi FC1–0
H Al-Fateh2–3
H NEOM1–1
Head to head
5
Al-Hilal
0
Draw
0
Al-Hazm
Oct 2026Al-Hilal Saudi FC – Al-Hazm1–0
May 2026Al-Hazm – Al-Hilal Saudi FC0–3
Jan 2026Al-Hilal Saudi FC – Al-Hazm3–0
May 2024Al-Hilal Saudi FC – Al-Hazm4–1
Nov 2023Al-Hazm – Al-Hilal Saudi FC0–9
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC clear favourites, giving them a 83% chance of winning against 11% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.20 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.1 goals in total (3.27 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC, 0.85 for Al-Hazm), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC sit 1st on 30 points; Al-Hazm are 14th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.