Over 1.5 goals@1.73
Over 1.5
58%
BHRPremier League · Matchday 4Saturday, 10 October 2026
Al-Hidd
10th · 7 pts0–1FULL TIME
Al Ittifaq Maqaba
3rd · 14 pts35% Al-Hidd
31% Draw
34% Al
OUR PICK
Al-Hidd to win
Model probability 35% · fair odds
2.87
Expected goals
0.98 – 0.96
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.87X3.1822.96
Goals 2.5Over3.04Under1.44
Both scoreGG2.42NG1.63
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Under 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.63
NG
61%
Double chance@1.46
12
69%
Season stats
Al-HiddAl Ittifaq Maqaba0.7Goals per game1.6
0.7Conceded per game0.9
1.00Points per game2.00
14%Win rate57%
0Goal difference5
4Form, last 5 (pts)11
Al-Hidd form
DDDLDA A'Ali0–0
H Manama1–1
A Al Najma2–2
H Al Ittifaq Maqaba0–1
A Sitra0–0
Al Ittifaq Maqaba form
WDDWWH Malkiya3–0
A Khalidiya2–2
H Manama2–2
A Al-Hidd0–1
A Al Ahli0–2
Head to head
1
Al-Hidd
1
Draw
1
Al
Oct 2026Al-Hidd – Al Ittifaq Maqaba0–1
Dec 2023Al-Hidd – Al Ittifaq Maqaba2–2
Nov 2021Al Ittifaq Maqaba – Al-Hidd0–6
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al Riffa7+1115
2Khalidiya7+1015
3Al Ittifaq Maqaba7+514
4Muharraq7+411
5Al Ahli709
6East Riffa7-58
7Sitra7-28
8Al Najma7-48
9A'Ali7-38
10Al-Hidd707
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Al-Hidd 35%, the draw 31%, Al Ittifaq Maqaba 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.87 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (0.98 for Al-Hidd, 0.96 for Al Ittifaq Maqaba), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al-Hidd sit 10th on 7 points; Al Ittifaq Maqaba are 3rd on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.