Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
70%
SAUPro League · Matchday 8Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Al-Hazem Club Stadium
Al-Hazm
14th · 10 pts1–1FULL TIME
NEOM
5th · 22 pts24% Al-Hazm
26% Draw
51% NEOM
OUR PICK
NEOM to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.98
Expected goals
0.94 – 1.51
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.25X3.8521.98
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.80
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.90
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.90
NG
53%
Double chance@1.31
X2
76%
Season stats
Al-HazmNEOM1.2Goals per game1.5
1.7Conceded per game0.8
0.83Points per game1.83
17%Win rate58%
-6Goal difference8
2Form, last 5 (pts)7
Al-Hazm form
LDLLDA Al Khaleej Saihat4–2
H Al-Fayha2–2
A Al-Hilal Saudi FC1–0
H Al-Fateh2–3
H NEOM1–1
NEOM form
WLWLLA Al Diriyah1–2
A Al-Shabab3–1
H Abha2–0
A Al-Nassr1–0
H Al-Ettifaq0–1
Head to head
1
Al-Hazm
2
Draw
2
NEOM
Oct 2026Al-Hazm – NEOM1–1
Apr 2026NEOM – Al-Hazm1–1
Jan 2026Al-Hazm – NEOM1–2
Sept 2025Al-Hazm – NEOM2–1
Feb 2025Al-Hazm – NEOM0–2
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model makes NEOM slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.98 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (0.94 for Al-Hazm, 1.51 for NEOM), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al-Hazm sit 14th on 10 points; NEOM are 5th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.