Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
SAUPro League · Matchday 11Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Al Hazm Club Stadium
Al-Hazm
14th · 10 pts2–2FULL TIME
Al-Fayha
13th · 11 pts41% Al-Hazm
26% Draw
33% Al-Fayha
OUR PICK
Al-Hazm to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.44
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.26
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.44X3.8823.01
Goals 2.5Over1.98Under1.89
Both scoreGG1.84NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Over 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.84
GG
54%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
Al-HazmAl-Fayha1.2Goals per game1.3
1.7Conceded per game1.7
0.83Points per game0.92
17%Win rate17%
-6Goal difference-4
2Form, last 5 (pts)5
Al-Hazm form
LDLLDA Al Khaleej Saihat4–2
H Al-Fayha2–2
A Al-Hilal Saudi FC1–0
H Al-Fateh2–3
H NEOM1–1
Al-Fayha form
WDLLDH Al-Faisaly FC4–1
A Al-Hazm2–2
H Al-Ahli Jeddah2–3
A Al Khaleej Saihat2–0
H Al Riyadh1–1
Head to head
1
Al-Hazm
3
Draw
1
Al-Fayha
Oct 2026Al-Hazm – Al-Fayha2–2
Apr 2026Al-Hazm – Al-Fayha2–0
Dec 2025Al-Fayha – Al-Hazm0–0
Feb 2024Al-Hazm – Al-Fayha1–3
Aug 2023Al-Fayha – Al-Hazm0–0
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Al-Hazm 41%, the draw 26%, Al-Fayha 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.44 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.43 for Al-Hazm, 1.26 for Al-Fayha), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al-Hazm sit 14th on 10 points; Al-Fayha are 13th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.