Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
71%
SAUPro League · Matchday 9Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Al-Hazem Club Stadium
Al-Hazm
14th · 10 pts2–3FULL TIME
Al-Fateh
16th · 6 pts60% Al-Hazm
24% Draw
17% Al-Fateh
OUR PICK
Al-Hazm to win
Model probability 60% · fair odds
1.68
Expected goals
1.72 – 0.79
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.68X4.2525.91
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.85
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.81
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.85
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.81
NG
55%
Double chance@1.20
1X
83%
Season stats
Al-HazmAl-Fateh1.2Goals per game0.8
1.7Conceded per game2.1
0.83Points per game0.50
17%Win rate8%
-6Goal difference-15
2Form, last 5 (pts)3
Al-Hazm form
LDLLDA Al Khaleej Saihat4–2
H Al-Fayha2–2
A Al-Hilal Saudi FC1–0
H Al-Fateh2–3
H NEOM1–1
Al-Fateh form
LLLWLA Al-Hilal Saudi FC2–0
H Al Shabab1–3
H Al Khaleej Saihat2–3
A Al-Hazm2–3
H Al-Ahli Jeddah0–4
Head to head
1
Al-Hazm
2
Draw
2
Al-Fateh
Oct 2026Al-Hazm – Al-Fateh2–3
Feb 2026Al-Fateh – Al-Hazm1–1
Sept 2025Al-Hazm – Al-Fateh0–0
May 2024Al-Fateh – Al-Hazm2–1
Dec 2023Al-Hazm – Al-Fateh2–0
Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC11+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12+2028
3Al-Nassr11+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11+1024
5NEOM12+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11+921
7Al-Ettifaq12+119
8Al Diriyah12-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12-515
10Al Shabab11+514
Match preview
Our model makes Al-Hazm clear favourites, giving them a 60% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.68 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.72 for Al-Hazm, 0.79 for Al-Fateh), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Al-Hazm sit 14th on 10 points; Al-Fateh are 16th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.